David,
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it's very difficult to even find evidence that people are healed by this man!
I'm unsure of this as I just watched his documentary yesterday and haven't studied his case. Yet even on the comments section below the video, someone mentioned their friend having a heart condition that was completely healed as a result of going to him. Was it a lie? Maybe...but I have a hard time believing that so many people are making up stories. Maybe that is the case though.
The ideal thing that could be done is have a group of scientists monitor the people that go to John of God and record the results in the long term for each person. That would be very hard work keeping track of everyone...but it would be the best way to know if there were actually any healings. Maybe they could get checked up by an impartial team of certified physicians before and after. Of course it's not going to happen, seeing as how health care is about money and not about miracles...but that sort of system would need to be in place before really saying anything about this guy.
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Yes, scientifically speaking, even thousands of recovery-stories provide no evidence in themselves that he is a healing cause. As scientists say, the plural of anecdotes is not data, and they are right.
That's not what I was saying. I was saying that thousands of recovery stories DO provide evidence that he's a healing cause. Not proof...but strong evidence.
When the statistics for people with a condition that have recovered are higher after seeing a healer, versus not seeing a healer...that is strong evidence that the healer is playing a role in recovery.
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The reason is that spontaneous recovery happens all over the place all the time. Many, many illnesses have a high rate of spontaneous recovery.
That can be true. But when people mostly recover after going to see this man, it can't be said to simply be spontaneous recovery.
By the way - there's not really such a thing as a spontaneous recovery. There's always a reason and a cause.
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Skepticism to me is all about making sure we are not being fooled, and not letting our desires occlude our finding out the truth.
I agree with you here.
I hope you don't think I desire to believe in this man's story. I'm pretty much unmoved by it. I don't have any use in believing it. If you knew me in person you'd know I'm not the type to care about this sort of thing.
My point is just that in being too skeptical, we're fooling only ourselves. My point is not to say this man is a healer, hands down. I'm only saying that it seems likely, seeing as how it's working for some people. To discredit him simply because of the way his organization is run, or the fact that he does strange things like scraping eyes and putting scissors in noses, is dishonest.
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So, John goes to witch-doctor, witch-doctor shakes rattle, John is healed. From a skeptical point-of-view, we must ask, can we be sure John was healed by the witch-doctor?
I agree with that...but when Bill, Ted, and Bob also go to the same witch doctor and are healed...and Buck, Chuck and Bertha don't go and are still suffering from their diseases...then the evidence tends to show that the witch doctor is playing a big role in the healing.
Are these the same statistics for John of God? No, it isn't 100%...but there seem to be a lot of positive testimonies. But like I said, without a team in place to scientifically measure the success rate it's hard to know the truth.
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We have no way of knowing in individual cases, but fortunately there is a very precise statistical science for finding out the answer when there is a large enough pool of cases. And here enters the scientific 'controlled statistical experiment'.
Unfortunately, in the context of the controlled statistical experiment, the failure rate of modalities such as these is 100% (it's true I haven't defined 'modalities such as these'). We have to ask ourselves, why is this happening? Why do they seem to show up as working when we are looking without scientific sophistication, and then stop showing up as working when we are looking with scientific sophistication? What's up with that?
Luckily, I tend not to believe in modalities "such as these". But I don't discredit them the minute a new one pops up. I think they ALL must be put to this test, and be shown to fail. Until this John of God is put to the test, I won't say he's a phoney. He is innocent until proven guilty. Lumping him into the category as all of the fake healers who have failed the test is dishonest and unscientific.
Skepticism should about keeping an open mind. Not too open...just open enough for the truth. Not too closed either, because then we may shut out the truth.
If we say that John of God is a fake, we are being too closed minded. Same thing if we say he's the real deal.